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SUBTROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052023
1500 UTC FRI JUL 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  47.3W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 210SE   0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  47.3W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  47.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.0N  47.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.4N  48.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.5N  47.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.0N  46.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 38.6N  43.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 35.7N  40.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 33.7N  38.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N  47.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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