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Tropical Storm BRET


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM BRET WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032023               
1500 UTC THU JUN 22 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PONCE PR       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VIEQUES PR     34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAINT JOHN     34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SABA           34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST EUSTATIUS   34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BARBUDA        34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  4   8(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
AVES           34  2  28(30)   7(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
AVES           50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOMINICA       34 11  41(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
DOMINICA       50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MARTINIQUE     34 21  64(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
MARTINIQUE     50  2  18(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34 21  46(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
SAINT LUCIA    50  2  20(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
SAINT LUCIA    64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
SAINT VINCENT  34  3   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BARBADOS       34 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
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