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TROPICAL STORM PAINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172022
2100 UTC MON OCT 03 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 112.0W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 112.0W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 111.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.4N 112.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.3N 112.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  40SE  40SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.1N 113.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.7N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.8N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 112.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/BROWN
 
 
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