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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032022
2100 UTC FRI JUN 17 2022
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 89.4W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 89.4W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 89.4W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.1N 89.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 12.3N 89.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 12.2N 90.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 11.8N 92.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.5N 93.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.6N 95.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 12.5N 100.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 13.7N 104.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 89.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN
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