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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED AUG 23 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SAT AUG 26 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.4N 77.6W 52 X X X 52 W PALM BEACH FL X 2 11 5 18
22.6N 79.5W 10 24 X 1 35 FT PIERCE FL X X 8 8 16
24.0N 81.0W X 16 10 1 27 COCOA BEACH FL X X 4 10 14
MTPP 186N 724W 5 X X X 5 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 11 12
MTCA 183N 738W 2 X X X 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 8 8
MKJP 179N 768W 1 1 X X 2 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MKJS 185N 779W 4 4 X X 8 KEY WEST FL X 6 15 3 24
MWCG 193N 814W X 3 3 1 7 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 15 5 21
MUGM 200N 751W 70 X X X 70 FT MYERS FL X X 12 7 19
MUCM 214N 779W 47 X X X 47 VENICE FL X X 8 10 18
MUCF 221N 805W 2 24 2 X 28 TAMPA FL X X 3 13 16
MUSN 216N 826W X 4 9 3 16 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 12 13
MUHA 230N 824W X 6 13 2 21 ST MARKS FL X X X 10 10
MUAN 219N 850W X X 2 6 8 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 10 10
MDPP 198N 707W 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 9 9
MBJT 215N 712W 9 X X X 9 PENSACOLA FL X X X 6 6
MYMM 224N 730W 2 X X X 2 MOBILE AL X X X 4 4
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 X 1 2 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MYEG 235N 758W 13 3 X 1 17 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
MYAK 241N 776W 10 13 1 X 24 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W 1 10 4 1 16 GULF 29N 85W X X X 12 12
MYGF 266N 787W X 2 8 5 15 GULF 29N 87W X X X 9 9
MARATHON FL X 10 13 2 25 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X 5 13 4 22
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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