ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED AUG 09 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT AUG 12 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.2N 79.1W 99 X X X 99 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 9 10
28.8N 79.5W 44 1 X X 45 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 8 8
29.5N 79.0W 36 X 1 X 37 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 6 6
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 3 3 NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X 1 2 3
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 X 2 3 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 4 3 3 11
MYNN 251N 775W 4 1 1 2 8 FT MYERS FL 1 7 3 2 13
MYGF 266N 787W 26 X 1 X 27 VENICE FL 1 6 4 2 13
MARATHON FL X 1 2 2 5 TAMPA FL 2 8 4 2 16
MIAMI FL 5 4 2 2 13 CEDAR KEY FL 1 6 5 4 16
W PALM BEACH FL 16 3 1 1 21 ST MARKS FL X 1 4 6 11
FT PIERCE FL 22 2 1 1 26 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 6 9
COCOA BEACH FL 22 3 1 1 27 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 5 7
DAYTONA BEACH FL 16 5 2 1 24 PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4
JACKSONVILLE FL 5 7 4 3 19 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA 1 3 5 6 15 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X 2 4 8 14 GULF 29N 85W X X 3 5 8
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 3 9 12 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}