Tue, 04 Nov 2014 09:43:01 +0000 Tue, 04 Nov 2014 09:43:01 +0000 National Hurricane Center - High Seas Forecast (Northeast Pacific) http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ none nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) en-us nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (nhcwebmaster) http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/xml_logo_nhc.gif http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ NOAA logo 95 45 000
FZPN03 KNHC 040942
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 18.4N 110.0W 970 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 04
MOVING N-NE OR 025 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 210 NM SE AND
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...EXCEPT AS
DESCRIBED WITH LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W IN SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
SECTION...FROM 08N TO 25W BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 22.0N 108.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...180
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUNDED BY 22N104W TO 10N106W TO
10N130W TO 24N130W TO 30N120W TO 22N104W...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED
OFF W COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN SYNOPSIS AND
FORECAST SECTION...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE NEAR 24.1N 107.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE INLAND NEAR
26.0N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N96W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W
AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14.5N
BETWEEN 94W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY
IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W 1008 MB MOVING NW AT 10 KT. WITHIN 180
NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1008 MB MOVING W AT 10 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 21N W OF A LINE FROM 21N114W TO
18N114W TO 10N132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
PRIMARILY IN NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N133W 1008 MB. WITHIN 270 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 24N W OF 130W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE WIND WAVES
AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N137W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 21N W OF 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.WITHIN FROM 09.5N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FROM 07N TO 11N
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED
NE AND SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH AREA
DESCRIBED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 27N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST OFF W COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0815 UTC TUE NOV 04...
.HURRICANE VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM N QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 07N77W TO 09N84W TO 07N94W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 11.5N105W 1008 MB...THEN CONTINUES FROM 13N115W TO 19N119W
TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1008 MB TO 10N132W. ITCZ AXIS FROM
10N132W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02N TO
7.5N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO
09N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210
NM N AND NE QUADRANTS OF LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 270 NM E QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR
11N129W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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