ABPZ20 KNHC 122328
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 12 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have changed little in organization since yesterday and are confined
to the western portion of its circulation. A small increase in the
organization of the associated shower and thunderstorm activity
would result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression,
likely tonight or on Saturday, while the system moves
west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph. By Sunday,
upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen over the system, and
further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.