ABPZ20 KNHC 251136
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Daniel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing limited shower activity
over a broad area. Development of this system is becoming less
likely, and this disturbance is expected to merge with a low
pressure area approaching from the east in a couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure area located
about 500 miles south of eastern Mexico has become a little better
organized during the last 24 hours. Environmental conditions are
expected to steadily become more conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the
system moves generally westward, well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
A tropical wave is expected to move out of the Caribbean Sea and
into the eastern Pacific by Tuesday or Wednesday. Some subsequent
development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression
could form south of Central America or the Gulf of Tehuantepec by
the end of this week while the system moves westward at 15 to 20
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.