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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101147
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jul 10 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90):
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of 
disturbed weather located several hundred miles south-southeast of 
the Hawaiian Islands does not have a closed surface wind 
circulation. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system through early next week, and a 
tropical depression could form while the system moves generally
westward across the central Pacific, remaining well south of the 
Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
Another area of showers and thunderstorms is associated with a 
trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles southeast of the 
Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable 
for some slow development of this system, and a tropical depression 
could form next week as it moves mainly westward over the 
central Pacific, remaining well south of the Hawaiian Islands. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form late this weekend or 
early next week several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast 
of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable 
for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form next week while the system moves generally 
west-northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Central and Western East Pacific:
Another area of low pressure could form by early next week well 
southwest of the Baja California peninsula.  Some slow development 
of this system is possible next week while it moves slowly 
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Katz