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164
ABPZ20 KNHC 101731
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 10 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a trough of low
pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands has diminished slightly since yesterday. However,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system through early next week, and a tropical depression could
form while the system moves generally westward across the central
Pacific, remaining well south of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A trough of low pressure with a small cluster of showers and
thunderstorms continues to move generally westward and is located
about 800 miles southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental
conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this
system, and a tropical depression could form next week as it moves
mainly westward over the central Pacific, remaining well south of
the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form late this weekend or
early next week several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast
of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable
for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is
likely to form next week while the system moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Central and Western East Pacific:
Another area of low pressure could form by early next week well
southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development
of this system is possible next week while it moves slowly
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Berg