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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111138
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Oct 11 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical 
Cyclone Rachel, located inland over southern California and on 
Hurricane Simon, located just offshore of southwestern Mexico.

South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave over the far eastern East Pacific is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form well south of southern Mexico by the 
middle or latter half of the week as the system moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly