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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook



237 
ABPZ20 KNHC 181128
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jul 18 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A weak area of low pressure located about 1200 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
small area of showers and thunderstorms.  Development of this
system is unlikely due to strong upper-level winds.  This system is
expected to move westward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1000 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula are associated with a tropical wave.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to become somewhat conducive for development
of this system by the weekend while it moves quickly westward at low
latitudes.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form late this week several
hundred miles southwest of Mexico.  Some slow development of this
system is possible by early next week while it moves westward or
west-northwestward well south of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi