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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 130502
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Tue Nov 12 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this
disturbance is possible over the next several days, and a tropical
depression could form late this week while it moves slowly
northward. However, upper-level winds are expected to become
unfavorable for any further development of this system by late this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased this evening in association
with an area of low pressure located over 1000 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper level
winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for development
of this system while it moves slowly westward over the next couple
of days. By this weekend, upper level winds are expected to become
unfavorable for any further development of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto