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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook



124 
ABNT20 KNHC 281745
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 28 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of the Windward Islands:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone Two, located a couple of hundred miles east of the 
southern Windward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure centered over the northwestern Gulf of 
Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
This system is forecast to move slowly westward or 
west-southwestward and approach the coast of Texas during the next 
two days.  Slow development of the low is possible, and it could 
become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast before it 
moves inland.  Regardless of development, heavy rain will be 
possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week. For more 
information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products 
issued by your National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is 
producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  This system 
is forecast to interact with another tropical wave over the next 
several days, and some gradual development is possible later this 
week while the overall system moves west-northwestward at around 15 
mph across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued 
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued 
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky