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000
ABNT20 KNHC 161142
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northwestern Gulf of America (AL90):
A broad area of low pressure located inland over south Texas is 
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
The system is forecast to move northeastward along the Texas coast 
and could emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America later 
today or tonight.  Environmental conditions are expected to be 
marginally conducive for the formation of a short-lived tropical 
storm late today or on Wednesday, especially if the system moves far 
enough offshore.

Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, interests across southern 
and eastern Texas and portions of Louisiana and Mississippi should 
prepare for periods of intense rainfall over the next several days 
which could produce widespread, life-threatening flash, urban, and 
river flooding.  Gusty winds and coastal flooding are also possible 
along portions of the northwestern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storm 
Watches or Warnings could be required later today.  Additional 
information on this system can be found in products issued by your 
local National Weather Service Forecast Office or NHC Key Messages.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake