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000
ABNT20 KNHC 101744
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and 
thunderstorms. As this low moves slowly westward, a tropical wave 
emerging off the coast of west Africa is expected to interact 
with the system in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be more conducive for development by mid-week, and a 
tropical depression could form during the latter half of this week 
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the 
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical 
wave are located about midway between the coast of west Africa and 
the Lesser Antilles. Some gradual development of this system is 
possible through mid-week while it moves quickly westward across the 
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are expected to 
become less favorable for development later this week as the system 
approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Western Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles north of 
Bermuda is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  
Some development of this system is possible during the next couple 
of days while it moves quickly eastward, well to the north of 
Bermuda, across the western and central subtropical Atlantic. The 
system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending 
its chances of formation after Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch