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000
ABNT20 KNHC 061733
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Southwestern Gulf of America (AL92):
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that showers and 
thunderstorms are becoming better organized while surface pressures 
are gradually falling. If these trends continue, advisories will 
likely be issued on this system later today or tonight while it 
moves slowly eastward. The low pressure area could bring gusty winds 
and areas of heavy rain to the western portions of the Yucatan 
Peninsula of Mexico in a couple of days. 

The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward 
the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week. It is still too 
early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but 
interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely 
monitor the progress of this system. The NOAA Gulfstream jet is en 
route to sample the environment over the Gulf this afternoon and Air 
Force and NOAA reconnaissance aircraft are scheduled to investigate 
the system tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi