Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion (Text)

AXNT20 KNHC 260005

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2300 UTC. 


The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean near the Sierra 
Leone/Liberia border and continues to 04N16W. The ITCZ extends 
from 04N16W to 02N28W to 01N40W to the Equator at 50W. Scattered 
moderate to isolated strong convection can be found from 01N-03N 
between 21N-24N, and from 01S-01N between 48W-51W. Scattered 
moderate convection is observed from the Equator to 02N between 



A cold front passes through Andros Island in the Bahamas, across
NW Cuba, to the N central part of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.
Surface high pressure spans the rest of the Gulf of Mexico. A
1018 mb high pressure center is near 28N93W, off the coasts of
Texas and Louisiana. Precipitation: late afternoon isolated
moderate to locally strong rainshowers are in the Yucatan
Peninsula, and from Hispaniola to Cuba.

A frontal boundary currently is inland in Texas. Isolated moderate
to locally strong rainshowers cover the area from inland Mexico to
inland Texas from 22N to 31N between 94W and 102W.

The current cold front that is in the SE Gulf will become diffuse
by Thursday. Another cold front will move into the NW Gulf 
tonight. This front will shift across the Gulf, moving SE of the 
area on Saturday. High pressure will build in the wake of the 


A weak cold front has reached western Cuba and the Yucatan 
Channel. Currently, scattered showers and tstms are noted in 
association with the frontal boundary. The front is forecast to 
become diffuse tonight. A surface trough is analyzed over the 
eastern Caribbean along 63W. Patches of low level clouds with
embedded showers are in the wake of the trough currently affecting
the Lesser Antilles where light showers have been reported. 
Moisture associated with this through is forecast to move across 
Puerto Rico and the UK/US Virgin Islands early on Thu increasing 
the likelihood of showers. 

The wind speeds will pulse to fresh-to-locally strong in the 
central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of nights. 
Gentle to moderate trades will continue through the period,


A cold front passes through 31N75W, southwestward, to western 
Cuba. Scattered showers and tstms are noted in a band well ahead 
of the front. Similar convective activity is also noted across the
Straits of Florida, but it is forecast to diminish by this 
afternoon as a cooler air mass invades the area. The front will 
stall and dissipate tonight, particularly W of the Bahamas.

The current cold front will stall and dissipate by Thursday. A 
second cold front will move across the northwest waters on Friday 
night. This front will reach from near 31N73W to South Florida on
Saturday night, from near 31N69W to the straits of Florida on
Sunday night, and from 25N65W to central Cuba on Monday night. 
High pressure will build in the wake of the front.

For additional information please visit 


Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
Privacy Policy
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Thursday, 26-Apr-2018 00:05:33 UTC