000
AXNT20 KNHC 111759
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Feb 11 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1740 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
...CARIBBEAN SEA GALE-FORCE WIND WARNING...
A tight surface pressure gradient, that is between Atlantic Ocean
higher surface pressures, and comparatively lower surface
pressures that are in Colombia, continues to support strong to
near gale-force winds, between 65W and 80W, in the Caribbean Sea.
The wind speeds will pulse to gale-force, and the peak sea heights
will be ranging from rough to nearly very rough, during the late
night and early morning hours, in the offshore waters of Colombia,
for the next few days.
Please, refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast, that is
issued by the National Hurricane Center, at the website:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for details.
Broad cyclonic wind flow is between 65W and 80W. Fresh NE to E
winds are elsewhere from 65W eastward. Mostly fresh to some
strong NE to E winds, are from 80W westward. Rough seas cover the
offshore waters that are between Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands and Hispaniola, toward the coastal waters of Colombia that
are between 74W and 80W. Moderate seas cover much of the
remainder of the Caribbean Sea from 80W eastward, and in the NW
corner of the area from 20N northward. Some exceptions are for
slight to moderate seas, in the coastal waters that are from
Anguilla southward, in the coastal waters of Venezuela, and in
the coastal waters of the countries of Central America, and
elsewhere from 80W westward.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains borders of
Sierra Leone and Liberia, to 03N17W, and to the Equator along
25W/26W. The ITCZ continues from the Equator along 25W/26W, to
01S30W 01S35W 02S41W. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally
strong is from 07N southward from 55W eastward.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
An inland frontal boundary covers the U.S.A. coastal plains from
Alabama, to east Texas, and to the Deep South of Texas.
Precipitation: scattered moderate to widely scattered strong is
from 29N northward between central Louisiana and central Texas.
Moderate to fresh SE winds, and slight seas, cover the Gulf of
Mexico.
The Atlantic ridge extends westward to N Florida, and is
producing moderate to locally fresh SE to S winds across most of
the Gulf today. A cold front will enter the NW Gulf Wed night,
then stall from the Bay of Campeche to near the Florida Big Bend
Fri. Southerly winds will increase ahead of the front in the
central Gulf tonight through Wed. Strong to near gale force winds
are expected behind the front, possibly reaching minimal gale
force off Tampico, Mexico briefly Thu evening.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please, refer to the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about a
Gale-Force Wind Warning that is covering the coastal waters of
Colombia. The warning period starts tonight. It stops on Wednesday
morning, and it starts again from Wednesday night until Thursday
morning.
Broad cyclonic wind flow is between 65W and 80W. Fresh NE to E
winds are elsewhere from 65W eastward. Mostly fresh to some
strong NE to E winds, are from 80W westward. Rough seas cover the
offshore waters that are between Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands and Hispaniola, toward the coastal waters of Colombia that
are between 74W and 80W. Moderate seas cover much of the
remainder of the Caribbean Sea from 80W eastward, and in the NW
corner of the area from 20N northward. Some exceptions are for
slight to moderate seas, in the coastal waters that are from
Anguilla southward, in the coastal waters of Venezuela, and in
the coastal waters of the countries of Central America, and
elsewhere from 80W westward.
The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended
at 11/1200 UTC, are: 0.15 in Curacao; 0.12 in San Juan in Puerto
Rico; and 0.02 in Trinidad. This information is from the Pan
American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.
The tight pressure gradient between the high pressure ridge
across the western Atlantic and low pressure over northwestern
Colombia will support strong trade winds pulsing to gale force
each night and early morning near the coast of NW Colombia through
Thu night. Rough to very rough seas are expected near and to the
west of the highest winds. Fresh E to NE trade winds and rough
seas are expected across the remainder southwestern and central
Caribbean into the weekend, with winds pulsing to strong speeds
through the Windward Passage, in the Gulf of Venezuela, and S of
Hispaniola. Atlantic high pressure will move to near 55W Wed night
through the latter half of the week, shifting the zone of strong
trade winds and rough seas across the eastern Caribbean and
Tropical North Atlantic waters.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front passes through 31N66W, to 29N73W 30N77W. A
dissipating stationary front continues from 30N77W, toward the
Florida Panhandle. The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for
the period that ended at 11/1200 UTC, are: 0.87 in Freeport in
the Bahamas; 0.14 in Bermuda. This information is from the Pan
American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.
Fresh to strong NE winds are from 03N to 28N from 60W eastward.
Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder of the Atlantic
Ocean. Moderate to rough seas are from 20N southward from 60W
eastward. Moderate seas are elsewhere from 20N northward.
Fresh to locally strong trade winds will prevail south of 25N
through the weekend as the Atlantic ridge persists along 28N-29N.
Associated easterly swell will also lead to rough seas S of 22N
through the weekend. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail N of
25N until Fri, when a cold front will slide south of 30N to the W
of 70W, bringing fresh to strong NE winds behind it.
$$
mt/ss