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Tropical Storm Dorian Public Advisory


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000
WTNT35 KNHC 251740
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052019
200 PM AST Sun Aug 25 2019

...DORIAN GETTING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 53.4W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barbados

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* St. Lucia
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Additional watches or warnings could be issued later today for
portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands.  Elsewhere, interests
in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and Hispaniola should monitor
the progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was
located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 53.4 West.  Dorian is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion should
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Monday, with this motion continuing through Tuesday
night.  On the forecast track, the center of Dorian is expected to
be near the Windward Islands late Monday or early Tuesday and move
into the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Dorian could be near hurricane strength by Tuesday over the eastern
Caribbean Sea.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Dorian is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches in portions of the Lesser Antilles, with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely in the warning are by
late Monday.  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the
watch area by Monday night or Tuesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dorian will be affecting portions of the
Lesser Antilles by late Monday. These swells could cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven