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Tropical Depression Twenty-Nine Public Advisory


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000
WTNT34 KNHC 312049
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Nine Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL292020
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
APPROACHES NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 73.2W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 665 MI...1075 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of 
the depression.  Hurricane or tropical storm watches will likely be 
required for portions of these countries later tonight or early 
Sunday.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-Nine was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 73.2
West. The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 
km/h), and this westward motion is expected to continue through 
Sunday night.  A slower motion toward the west-southwest and then 
southwest is forecast on Monday and Tuesday.  On the forecast track, 
the center of the cyclone is expected to be near the northeastern 
coast of Nicaragua by Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become 
a tropical storm tonight.  The system is then expected to become a 
hurricane by Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Through Thursday afternoon, the depression is expected to
cause 5 to 10 inches of rain, with local 15-inch amounts, across
Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and possibly the southern coast of
Hispaniola.  Across portions of Central America, 10 to 15 inches of
rain, with local amounts to 25 inches are expected.  This rainfall
should lead to flash flooding and river flooding, and could cause
landslides in areas of higher terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg