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Tropical Storm Vicente Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 212035
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM VICENTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP232018
2100 UTC SUN OCT 21 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF VICENTE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  97.9W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  97.9W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  97.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.2N  99.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.2N 101.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.7N 102.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 103.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 104.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  97.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH