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Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory


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000
WTNT25 KNHC 142039
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152019
2100 UTC MON OCT 14 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION SINCE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  20.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  20.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  19.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.3N  21.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.5N  22.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N  23.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.1N  24.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.4N  26.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 21.4N  29.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  20.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART