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Post-Tropical Cyclone Michael Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 120847
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142018
0900 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  73.1W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 240SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  73.1W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  75.0W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 40.4N  66.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT... 90NE 360SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 43.8N  55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 420SE 300SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 46.2N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 240SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 360SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 47.0N  28.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 360SE 360SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 46.0N  11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N  73.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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Page last modified: Friday, 12-Oct-2018 08:48:03 UTC