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Hurricane Humberto Forecast Advisory


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809 
WTNT24 KNHC 180846
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0900 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  69.6W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 330SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  69.6W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  70.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.7N  67.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 34.8N  63.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 40.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 43.0N  53.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 45.5N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 52.1N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  69.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 18/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA