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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Advisory


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 250845
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020
0900 UTC SUN OCT 25 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PINAR DEL RIO CUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* COZUMEL

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  83.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  83.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  83.5W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.2N  83.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.9N  84.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.8N  85.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.1N  87.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.9N  89.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.4N  90.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 32.0N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  83.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART