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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Forecast Discussion


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000
WTPZ45 KNHC 251432
TCDEP5

Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Discussion Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052019
800 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 2019

Dalila's circulation is becoming elongated, and the remaining
thunderstorm activity is displaced well to the northeast. Earlier
scatterometer data revealed that winds were 20 to 25 knots, and most
likely these winds have decreased since then. On this basis, it is
estimated that Dalila has degenerated into a remnant low with 20-kt
winds.

Now that the system is shallow, the remnant low will continue to
move toward the west-northwest at about 6 to 8 kt, steered by the
low-level trade winds. While some intermittent patches of
convection are possible, the system is forecast to dissipate in a
day or so over cooler waters.

This is the last advisory on this system.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/1500Z 21.9N 120.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  26/0000Z 22.3N 121.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  26/1200Z 22.7N 123.1W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  27/0000Z 23.0N 124.9W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  27/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila/Taylor