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Post-Tropical Cyclone Narda Forecast Discussion (Text)


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866 
WTPZ44 KNHC 290233
TCDEP4
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Narda Discussion Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142025
800 PM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025
 
Cooler waters and dry mid-level air have taken a significant toll on 
Narda. The cyclone has been devoid of organized deep convection for 
several hours, leaving mainly a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds. 
The initial intensity is reduced to a possibly generous 30 kt. Given 
the increasingly hostile environment, along with strengthening 
southwesterly shear expected during the next day or so, regeneration 
of organized convection is not anticipated. As a result, this will 
be the final advisory on Narda, which has become a post-tropical 
remnant low.

The remnant low is forecast to drift north-northeastward into 
Monday, before turning back toward the northwest by Tuesday as it 
becomes steered by the low-level flow. Global model guidance 
indicates that the system should gradually spin down and open into a 
trough of low pressure within about 4 days.

For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header 
NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  29/0300Z 20.9N 125.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  29/1200Z 21.4N 124.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  30/0000Z 21.6N 124.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  30/1200Z 21.9N 124.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  01/0000Z 22.2N 125.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  01/1200Z 22.5N 126.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  02/0000Z 23.0N 127.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  03/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)
  

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