000
WTPZ44 KNHC 240237
TCDEP4
Remnants Of Roslyn Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192022
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2022
Surface observations and satellite images indicate that the
low-level circulation of Roslyn has dissipated over east-central
Mexico. The system is now primarily a lower-tropospheric vorticity
maximum, which should continue to weaken overnight and ultimately
be absorbed into a frontal boundary over Texas tomorrow.
Roslyn's remnants are moving quickly northeastward, at about 040/19
kt. This general motion should continue into early Monday.
Although a 12-hour forecast position is provided for continuity, it
is likely that the system will have lost its identity by that time.
This is the last advisory on Roslyn.
Key Messages:
1. Lingering heavy rainfall from the remnants of Roslyn could lead
to flash flooding and possible landslides in areas of rugged
terrain over coastal west-central Mexico.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/0300Z 26.0N 101.0W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 24/1200Z 28.0N 99.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Pasch