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Remnants of Lester Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 172035
TCDEP3

Remnants Of Lester Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP132022
400 PM CDT Sat Sep 17 2022

Satellite imagery and surface observations from Mexico indicate that 
the surface circulation of Lester has dissipated. The center of 
Lester has been difficult to locate today, and it is possible that 
the cyclone moved inland faster and farther east than indicated by 
NHC's operational estimates. A more detailed analysis of Lester's 
position near the coast of Mexico will be conducted during the 
post-storm analysis. Heavy rain will continue to be a threat along 
the southwest coast of Mexico for the next few days. For additional 
information on heavy rainfall and flooding, please see products 
issued by your national meteorological service.

Key Messages:

1. Heavy rains from Lester will continue for portions of coastal
southern Mexico into Sunday. This rainfall may produce flash and
urban flooding, along with possible mudslides in areas of higher
coastal terrain.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/2100Z 16.5N  98.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...REMNANTS OF LESTER
 12H  18/0600Z 17.7N...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky


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Page last modified: Saturday, 17-Sep-2022 20:36:17 UTC