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Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Forecast Discussion


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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 231433
TCDEP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Discussion Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018

Satellite imagery indicates that Vicente crossed the coast of the
Mexican state of Michoacan a little while ago, and is now inland.
The system, if in fact it still has a center, lacks sufficient
organized deep convection to be considered a tropical cyclone.
Therefore Vicente has become a post-tropical remnant low, and
this is the last advisory on this system.

The motion is around 330/10 kt.  A 12-hour forecast point is shown
for continuity, but the cyclone will probably have dissipated by
that time.  Vicente's remnants, along with southwesterly flow
around the larger circulation of Hurricane Willa, will probably
continue to produce locally heavy rains over portions of
southwestern Mexico into Wednesday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/1500Z 18.4N 102.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 12H  24/0000Z 19.5N 103.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch