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Post-Tropical Cyclone Celia Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 282031
TCDEP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Celia Discussion Number  49
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032022
200 PM PDT Tue Jun 28 2022

Organized deep convection associated with Celia ceased entirely 
earlier today and the cyclone is now a remnant low. Therefore, this 
is the last advisory. A partial ASCAT pass near 1800 UTC indicated 
winds of 25-30 kt, so the advisory intensity is set at 30 kt. Celia 
should gradually weaken as it spins down over cold water during the 
next couple of days, and all of the dynamical guidance indicates it 
will dissipate by late Thursday or early Friday. The cyclone is 
moving west-northwestward near 9 kt, and should continue on that 
general heading at a slightly slower forward speed until it 
dissipates.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  28/2100Z 22.6N 121.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  29/0600Z 23.3N 122.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  29/1800Z 24.0N 124.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  30/0600Z 24.5N 125.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  30/1800Z 24.8N 126.6W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 28-Jun-2022 20:32:01 UTC