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Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Forecast Discussion


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000
WTNT45 KNHC 062033
TCDAT5

Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Discussion Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052020
500 PM AST Mon Jul 06 2020

Although Edouard continues to produce some deep convection, recent
satellite imagery and scatterometer data indicate that the center of
the cyclone has merged with a frontal boundary. Therefore, the
system is now classified as extratropical and this is the last
advisory. The scatterometer data showed max winds of 35-40 kt, so
the initial intensity remains 40 kt.  The 35 kt wind radii were 
also increased in the southeast quadrant based on the scatterometer 
data.

The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to continue moving quickly 
northeastward for the next day or so until it is absorbed into a 
larger frontal zone over the north Atlantic late Tuesday or early 
Wednesday. The NHC track and intensity forecast is close to the 
global model consensus, and all of those models are in good 
agreement for the next 24 h.

This is the last NHC advisory on Edouard. Additional information on 
this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header 
FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/2100Z 42.7N  46.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  07/0600Z 45.1N  40.7W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  07/1800Z 48.5N  33.2W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky