NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

483 
WTNT45 KNHC 112033
TCDAT5
 
Remnants Of Jerry Discussion Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102025
500 PM AST Sat Oct 11 2025
 
A combination of scatterometer data, GOES-East derived motion 
winds, and a recent GPM microwave pass seems to confirm that Jerry 
does not have a well-defined center and has degenerated into a 
trough with deep convection located at the southeastern end of the 
axis.  As a result, this will be the last NHC advisory on this 
system.  Maximum winds are estimated to be 40 kt based on ASCAT data 
from this morning.
 
The rough motion estimate is northward, or 360/14 kt.  The remnant 
trough is expected to move northward and then northeastward, with 
the European, Canadian, and UKMET models showing it merging with a 
frontal boundary to its north in 24-36 hours.  Gale-force winds are 
likely to continue to the east and north of the trough until it 
merges with the front.  The GFS continues to keep the remnants as a 
distinct feature, but given that its initial position of the 
remnants is too far to the southeast, it is still considered an 
outlier solution.
 
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  11/2100Z 27.6N  63.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Berg