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602 
FOPZ15 KNHC 060232
PWSEP5

HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102018               
0300 UTC MON AUG 06 2018                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

15N 140W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
15N 140W       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
15N 140W       64 92   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)

15N 145W       34  X  61(61)  23(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
15N 145W       50  X  10(10)  26(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
15N 145W       64  X   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

20N 145W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  47(51)   3(54)   X(54)   X(54)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)   1(14)   X(14)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)  63(84)   X(84)   X(84)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  49(52)   X(52)   X(52)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)   X(29)   X(29)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   1(18)   X(18)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  39(40)   2(42)   X(42)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  67(68)   5(73)   X(73)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  35(35)   6(41)   X(41)
18N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   4(21)   X(21)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  45(45)   4(49)   X(49)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   1(15)   X(15)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   4(27)   X(27)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   X(12)

BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  51(51)  30(81)   1(82)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  36(51)   X(51)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  21(27)   X(27)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  33(37)   1(38)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)
15N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)   1(25)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
20N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  39(41)   2(43)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   1(15)
BUOY 51003     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)

NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)

NECKER         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

15N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  22(34)
15N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)
15N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  19(29)
20N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

15N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)
15N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
15N 170W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)
20N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
20N 170W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN