000
FOPZ13 KNHC 092043
PWSEP3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  51           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026               
2100 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RACHEL WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
LONG BEACH/LA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
S CATALINA IS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  25(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
SAN DIEGO CA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TIJUANA        34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  22(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)  27(27)  27(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
ENSENADA       50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
ENSENADA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
IS GUADALUPE   34  X   2( 2)  62(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
IS GUADALUPE   50  X   X( X)  21(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
IS GUADALUPE   64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
25N 120W       34  2  53(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
25N 120W       50  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
30N 120W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KELLY