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Tropical Depression Twelve-E Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ12 KNHC 041442
PWSEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122019               
1500 UTC WED SEP 04 2019                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)

10N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  19(33)   1(34)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)  19(47)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   9(17)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  22(26)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

10N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  29(31)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
15N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)

15N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ZELINSKY