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Hurricane Norman Wind Speed Probabilities (Text)


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392 
FOPZ11 KNHC 040234
PWSEP1

HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162018               
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

20N 140W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 140W       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 140W       64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

20N 145W       34  4  90(94)   3(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
20N 145W       50  1  66(67)  13(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
20N 145W       64  X  29(29)  14(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)

25N 145W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

20N 150W       34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  36(45)  17(62)   1(63)   X(63)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  14(22)   1(23)   X(23)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  16(20)  11(31)   X(31)
25N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
25N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

30N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)  24(44)   2(46)   X(46)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 04-Sep-2018 02:35:08 UTC