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Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


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ACPN50 PHFO 132302
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM HST Mon Jul 13 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Well South of the Hawaiian Islands (CP91):
Showers and thunderstorms have been persisting near the center of a
broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the Hawaiian Islands. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate
that the system is producing a small area of near gale-force winds,
mainly in gusts, over its southeastern side. However, the system
lacks a well-defined surface circulation. If the circulation
becomes better defined, a tropical depression or tropical storm
could form over the next day or two while the system moves little.
The disturbance is expected to move into less favorable
environmental conditions later this week, likely ending the chances
of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Well Southwest of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90):
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
southwest of the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce an area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for gradual development, and it could become a
tropical depression later in the week as it moves slowly
northwestward, remaining well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly
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