000
WTPZ31 KWNH 221957
TCPEP1

REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD EP162015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2015

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER
ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR SMALL PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...THERE WAS NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FOR SIXTEEN-E. OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E CONTINUED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA
AND NEW MEXICO.  MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE
COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRIGGER
THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA INTO NEW MEXICO THIS
EVENING.  BY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN
SHOULD BE MOVING INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BANDS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E
COULD BRING ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS TO PORTIONS OF ARIZONA...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...AND THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  THIS RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND DEBRIS FLOWS...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 12 PM MDT

...ARIZONA...
DAN SADDLE                           4.61                     
PARK TANK                            3.94                     
CALABASAS CANYON                     3.31                     
RIO RICO 3.6 E                       3.23                     
MANNING CAMP/RINCON MOUNTAINS        3.23                     
ITALIAN TRAP                         3.23                     
TUBAC 0.7 S                          3.20                     
GREEN VALLEY 11 ESE                  2.94                     
WHITE TAIL NEAR PALISADES            2.87                     
PECK CANYON                          2.87                     
FLORIDA CANYON                       2.83                     
ARIVACA LAKE                         2.80                     
PENA BLANCA LAKE                     2.71                     
EPHRAIM WASH/NOGALES                 2.56                     
ARIVACA/AMADO MINE                   2.44                     
MILLER CARR CANYON ALERT GAUGE       2.40                     
SANTA CRUZ RIVER AT TUBAC            2.28                     
MT LEMMON ALERT                      2.21                     
SIERRA VISTA 5 SW                    2.09                     
DRAGOON                              2.09                     
PATAGONIA LAKE                       2.05                     
NOGALES INTL ARPT                    1.93                     

...NEW MEXICO...
MOGOLLON 10 ESE                      3.34                     
PLEASANTON 4 ESE                     1.72                     
OLD HORSE SPRINGS 19 SSE             1.72                     
CLIFF 5.7 NE                         1.53                     
GILA HOT SPRINGS 0.2 SE              1.52                     
BAYARD 8.9 ENE                       1.41                     
BEAVERHEAD                           1.39                     
GLENWOOD 1 SSE                       1.37                     
GILA HOT SPRINGS                     1.30                     
RESERVE 1 WNW                        1.19                     
ALBUQUERQUE 4.2 E                    1.17                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER FOR THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING
$$