ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Max Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL762015
500 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2015
...MAX ATTAINS CATEGORY THREE STRENGTH...HEADED FOR THE BAHAMAS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
The Government of the Bahamas has issued a Hurricane Warning for
the Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeast Bahamas, including
the Acklins, Crooked, Inagua, Mayaguana, Samana Cay and Ragged
The Government of the Bahamas has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum
Cay and San Salvador.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Southeast Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Central Bahamas
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36
hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
Interests in Florida and the southeastern United States should
monitor the progress of Max.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Max was located
near latitude 22.7 North, longitude 64.6 West. Max is moving toward
the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). This motion is expected to continue
for the next couple of days with an increase in forward speed. On
the forecast track, Max will approach the southeast and central
Bahamas Monday night and Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and Max is expected to become a major hurricane when it moves near
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach portions of the
southeast Bahamas late Monday night. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to reach the warning area Monday evening, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters. The water could reach the following depths above
ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Turks and Caicos...6 to 8 feet
Southeast and Central Bahamas...6 to 9 feet
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Near
the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous
waves. For information specific to your area, please see products
issued by your local weather office.
RAINFALL: Max is expected to produce storm total rain accumulations
of 4 to 6 inches over portions of the southeast Bahamas and the
Turks and Caicos.
SURF: Large swells generated by Max are affecting portions of
Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Bahamas. These swells will
likely cause extremely dangerous surf and life-threatening rip
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.