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Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181131
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure centered about 1350 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds appear to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two or three days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become less favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$ Forecaster Latto/Brown

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