Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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ABPZ20 KNHC 181131

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure centered about 1350 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds appear to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two or three days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become less favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$ Forecaster Latto/Brown