Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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ABPZ20 KNHC 201151

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jul 20 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become too strong for development. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin late this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is likely, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions then appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$ Forecaster Cangialosi