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Eastern North Pacific 2-Day GTWO
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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day GTWO
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647
ABPZ20 KNHC 111156
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Aug 11 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A very broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico. Although this system is showing some signs of organization in satellite imagery, shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased since yesterday. In addition, overnight satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system does not have a well-defined center of circulation at the surface. Environmental conditions still appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the weekend while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph, well offshore the coast of Mexico. The system is forecast to move into an environment that is less conducive for development early next week, and further development will be unlikely at that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky

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