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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190246
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Apr 19 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0200 UTC.


...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N84W to 06N104W. The ITCZ continues from 06N104W to 06N115W. Another surface trough extends from 09N117W to 04N120W. The ITCZ resumes from 04N121W to 03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 07N and E of 95W, and from 02N to 09N between 110W and 125W.


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate NW winds persist along the coast and offshore waters of Baja California, between weak high pressure west of the area and lower pressure over central Mexico. NW swell moving through the regional waters is producing seas of 5 to 7 ft to the Revillagigedo Islands while gradually subsiding. Gentle winds and moderate seas persist elsewhere.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds winds and moderate seas will persist through Sat. Looking ahead, fresh NW winds and building swell will follow a weak cold front into the waters near Guadalupe Island off Baja California Norte Sun and Mon.


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate N gap winds persist in the Gulf of Panama, with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas of 3 to 5 ft in SW swell are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, mainly gentle breezes will persist across the region into early next week. Wave heights will be mostly 4 to 6 ft primarily in SW swell, building to 5 to 7 ft off Ecuador Sat night.


...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Broad ridging persists N of 10N, supporting moderate to fresh trade winds across the tropical Pacific W of 120W. Combined seas are 8 to 9 ft in this area, in mainly shorter-period easterly waves resulting from the trade wind flow. Light to gentle breezes and moderate seas are evident elsewhere.

For the forecast, wave heights will slowly subside across the region into the weekend, although an area of 8 ft seas will persist from 08N to 12N W of 130W due to fresh trade winds and lingering swell into early next week. A weak frontal boundary will approach the far NW waters Fri then dissipate over the weekend.

$$ ERA

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