000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140251
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Feb 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery
through 0100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Very Rough NW Swell: Rough seas in NW swell over the
waters N of 10N and W of 120W will get reinforced behind a cold
front starting Sat night with seas building to very rough SE of
30N140W. By Sun evening, very rough seas will cover the waters N
of 26N and W of 130W, up to 17 ft near 30N139W. Please refer to
the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A trough extends from 07N85W to 01N92W. The ITCZ extends from
01N92W to 02S110W to 05N135W to beyond 03N140W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 00N to 08N between 77W and 83W,
from 00.5N to 05N between 89W and 98W, and from 03N to 05.5N
between 135W and 138.5W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Moderate to fresh N gap winds are in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Winds are moderate or weaker elsewhere under weak ridging, except
locally moderate to fresh offshore Baja California. Seas are
locally rough in NW swell offshore Baja California Norte, and
moderate elsewhere, except slight in the Gulf of California.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh N winds will pulse in the
Gulf of Tehuantepec this evening before diminishing. Fresh to
strong northerly winds are forecast there Sun night through Tue
morning before diminishing. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse on
either side of Baja California Sur to near Cabo Corrientes
through the weekend, then again starting Tue. A cold front will
approach Baja California Norte early next week with fresh to
strong winds ahead of it in the northern Gulf of California and
west of the northern peninsula through early Tue, then will
diminish as the front moves through while weakening. A
reinforcing surge may bring fresh to strong winds N of 30N Wed.
Rough NW swell off Baja California Norte will linger through
early Sun. Larger NW swell will spread across the waters W of
110W through early next week toward mid-week, with very rough
seas N of Punta Eugenia.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas to 7 ft
are in the Gulf of Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh north to
northeast winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are in the the Gulf of
Panama and near the Azuero Peninsula. Moderate or weaker winds,
and mainly 4 to 6 ft seas in a mix of swells are elsewhere.
Active convection is near the coast of Panama, Colombia, and
Ecuador.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE-E gap winds and rough seas
will persist across the Gulf of Papagayo region through early
Sun, then pulsing to moderate to fresh into early next week.
Fresh to strong winds may return there by Tue night. Moderate to
fresh N-NE winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama at times.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will change little through the next several days.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
Significant Very Rough NW Swell forecast for the NW waters.
A dissipating trough extends from 24N121W to 20N125W while high
pressure is elsewhere across the waters N of the ITCZ. Moderate
to locally fresh trades are noted from roughly 04N to 24N between
115W and 140W, with mainly moderate or weaker winds elsewhere.
Rough seas in old NW swell covers the waters mainly N of 10N and
W of 120W, with moderate seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, other than the Significant Very Rough NW Swell
forecast for the NW waters, an associated cold front will
approach 30N140W early Sat, reaching from 30N129W to 24N140W by
early Sun with fresh to strong winds behind it, then from 30N120W
to 18N140W early Mon, and from near Punta Eugenia to 13N130W by
early Tue with winds N of 20N behind it diminishing as the front
weakens. High pressure will build in the wake of the front and
the belt of moderate to fresh trades N of the ITCZ will increase
to fresh to strong early next week. Rough to very rough seas will
accompany the increasing trades.
$$
Lewitsky
