000
AXPZ20 KNHC 072122
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 08N83W to 05N98W. The ITCZ continues
from 05N98W to 04N120W to 05N140W. A second ITCZ is south of the
Equator and runs from 03S94W to beyond 05S120W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection can be found 02N to 08N between
80W and 100W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to
06N between 114W and 120W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Winds have diminished below gale force in the Tehuantepec region
and the Gale Warning is allowed to expire. A partial scatterometer
pass indicates N winds in the 20 to 30 kt range there. A weak
ridge dominates the offshore waters of Baja California. This
pattern supports moderate to locally fresh NW to N winds with
moderate seas. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are noted in
the Gulf of California. Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore
waters, light to gentle winds and moderate seas, primarily in
southerly swell, prevail.
For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northerly winds are
expected in the Tehuantepec region the remainder of the week with
seas building up to 7 or 8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh NW
winds and moderate seas are forecast off Baja California through
Fri night under the influence of a ridge. Fresh to strong SW
winds may briefly develop in the northern Gulf of California Fri
night ahead of a cold front approaching Baja California Norte,
then moderate to fresh SW winds are expected through the
upcoming weekend. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker
with moderate seas through the next several days.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to locally strong gap winds are blowing across the Gulf of
Papagayo and downwind to 89W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these
winds. Farther east, gentle to moderate N winds and 3 to 4 ft
seas are present in the Gulf of Panama and just south of the
Azuero Peninsula. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas dominate
the remainder of the offshore forecast waters.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong gap winds are expected
during the nighttime and early morning hours in the Papagayo
region and downwind to about 89W through Fri. Toward the upcoming
weekend, winds may increase to 30 kt with seas building to 8 or
9 ft in the Papagayo area as a stronger high pressure settles N
of the area. Moderate northerly winds are forecast in the Gulf of
Panama through the forecast period. Light to gentle winds and
moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A cold front is over the NW corner of the forecast region and extends
from 30N134W to 25N140W. A couple of altimeter passes indicate seas
of 8 to 9 ft in the wake of the front. E of front, a 1022 mb high
pressure located near 34N125W extends a ridge across the remainder
of the N waters, particularly N of 20N and W of 110W. The pressure
gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in the vicinity
of the ITCZ supports moderate to locally fresh winds in the trade
wind zone, W of 115W. Seas of 6 to 9 ft are within these winds.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the cold front will continue to move eastward
across the waters N of 20N while dissipating by Fri. The associated
sea heights will subside below 8 ft by this evening. A high pressure
center located ahead of the front will move SE between 120W and
130W and weaken some over the next 48-72 hours. Moderate to locally
fresh trades are expected along the southern periphery of the ridge
through at least Thu.
$$
GR
