365
AXNT20 KNHC 030835
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Jun 3 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near
22W, from 15N southward, moving westward at around 10 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 21W
and 25W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and extends southwestward to near 07N25W. The
ITCZ continues from 07N25W to 04N44W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 60 nm N of the ITCZ between 35W and
50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough, the remnant of a stationary front, is over the
NE Gulf. A second surface trough is over the western coast of the
Yucatan peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 1-3 ft,
generally prevail across the Gulf waters.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to NE winds are expected
each afternoon and evening north of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the eastern Bay of Campeche as a trough develops daily and moves
westward. Expect moderate to fresh SE winds and building seas
across the western and south- central Gulf through Fri between a
trough over northern Mexico and high pressure over the Carolinas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A ridge of high pressure is N of the Caribbean waters. The
pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to near gale winds over the
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds prevail elsewhere. Seas
are in the 8-11 ft range over the central Caribbean, and 4-7 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to strong E winds and moderate to rough
seas will expand across most of the Caribbean through the middle
of the week, then diminish slightly toward the end of the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends over the NW waters off northern Florida,
with a second trough from 30N51W to 20N60W. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the tropical and subtropical waters N
of 20N. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail N of
22N and W of 50W. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft,
are elsewhere N of 20N. S of 20N, moderate to fresh winds are W pf
40W, with gentle winds E of 40W. Seas S of 20N are in the 4-6 ft
range.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move into the
region between northeast Florida and Bermuda today. The front will
dissipate southeast of Bermuda through mid week. Otherwise, high
pressure will dominate, with a tightening pressure gradient
leading to pulsing fresh to strong winds off the north coast of
Hispaniola starting tonight.
$$
AL
