Home


056
WTPZ35 KNHC 171432
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019
800 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019


...RAYMOND DEGENERATED INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...
...RAINS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 111.1W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.



DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 111.1 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight or Monday. On the forecast track, Raymond's remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is forecast to dissipate late Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$ Forecaster Avila



Home